SPX Weekly Options
SPX Weekly Options SPX Weekly Options now have 2 weekly options per week. Yes I know it's confusing. There is now a mid week SPX expiration to go along with the end of week expiration. They did this to match up the SPX with the volatility futures. Let's take a look at the probabilities in…
Volatility in the Stock Market
Volatility in the Stock Market Here's how TheoTrade has traded with the volatility in the stock market. This week we closed out winning trades in AMZN, EEM, and SPX. Let's look to next week and what we expect. There is a strong possibility of there being a little bit more of a short covering rally…
Sell Options Premium
Sell Options Premium This is a premium sellers dream market. Volatility remains very high and now is the time to sell options premium. Nasdaq divergence continues to play out. We have seen the Nasdaq be the weakest index on down days and not rally as much as the other indexes on up days. EWJ is…
Recession 2016
Recession 2016 More and more evidence of a recession in 2016 seems to be rearing it's ugly head. Bonds are screaming higher which is a tell tale sign that the market is thinking recession. Meanwhile financials are officially in a bear market. I keep watching the implied volatility in the XLF and that tells you…
XLF Volatility Signals Fears
XLF Volatility Signals Fears XLF volatility signals fear is at an extreme. The implied volatility is telling anyone looking to stay away from the long side of this market. It is also telling us is that no longer risk is here, but here to stay. The XLF IV% is over 30% for the foreseeable future.…
Expected Move Explained by Don Kaufman
Expected Move Don Kaufman explains how to find the expected move for any option chain in the thinkorswim platform and the probability of success when trading options. Free E-book The Rebel's Guide to Trading Options: The Basics and Beyond